fuzzy wuzzy was a bear

Published 2017-02-26 at 1440 × 802 in Bayes of our Lives: On (Finally) Estimating the mean from autocorrelated data.

Six plots are shown, representing traces from the Bayesian analysis. The top left is a gaussian distribution for mu centered just above x=0. The top right is a trace from x=0 to x=1000 with values ranging from -2 to 2. Center left is a Gaussian-ish distribution for sigma centered about 0.8 with a long tail going to the right. Center right is a trace with y-values ranging from 0.5 to 3.0. Bottom left is a Gaussian-ish distribution for rho centered just under 0.95 and with a slight secondary peak at about 0.98. Bottom right is a fuzzy trace with y-values ranging from 0.80 to 1.0

Addie

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